rakesh jhunjhunwala: Long & Short of Markets: Stocks Jhunjhunwala is selling; and portfolio tips from Vijay Kedia

NEW DELHI: As renowned economist Milton Friedman put it: “the stock market and economy are two different things.” Today’s reality is in line with those observations. Be it stocks or bitcoins, drunk on liquidity the hyper-bullishness can be aptly explained with ‘the greater fool’ theory which points to a behaviour anomaly in making stupid decisions to buy goods at expensive prices, hoping that some other bigger fool would buy these goods at much higher prices. Read this and more in this weekend’s edition of ‘Long & Short of Markets’.

D-Street as rich as India!
If you want to get a right perspective on how pricey the capital markets are, take a look at the Buffett Indicator. The key valuation indicator shows that Dalal Street’s total market capitalization is almost the same as the size of India’s GDP, which is definitely a cause for concern. Read more here.
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It’s a rebound, not a recovery
Raghuram Rajan opines that India is still in a rebounding stage and not recovery, as the economy is yet to reach its previous highs. Substantiating his claims, the former RBI governor uses two-wheelers and four-wheelers sales numbers to conclude that the demand from the lower middle class population is yet to pick up. Read his full interview here.
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Bitcoin eclipses Tulip mania?
Dutch Tulip bubble of 1636-37 was the first major bubble recorded in history, with the highest multiple (39.9X) of the underlying asset value ever. Bitcoin is not far behind with 3 boom and bust cycles in the last 10 years, 7x returns in the past 12 months with a market cap of around $650 billion. Read here to know why Bitcoin is unlike any other bubble we’ve seen so far.
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The ‘Big Bull’ just went light
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala trimmed his stake in two Tata siblings. After a 15X boom in the last decade, the ‘Big Bull’ decided to book profits, but only partially. Here’s more on what Jhunjhunwala has been up to.
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Taming the raging bull
Maverick investor Vijay Kedia, known for his bets on rather little-known stocks, says that the stock market has passed it’s ‘dust’ and ‘must’ phase and has now entered the ‘lust’ phase. During these indecisive times, this D-Street veteran advises investors to enter sunrise industries and exit those seeing sunset. Read here for Vijay Kedia’s strategy to fearlessly ride Mr Market’s dust-must-lust cycle.
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