“The last 25-year history suggests that Indian property up/down cycles typically last 7-9 years,” said Jefferies in a note to clients. “We believe that the sector is now emerging from an 8-year downturn and we believe that 2020 was the bottom.”
Jefferies said the housing sector is seeing its best affordability in the past 20 years. “Over the last 9 years, property prices have moved up by only 25% whereas the cumulative income growth has been 70%. Low mortgage rates also help,” the brokerage said. Jefferies said property developers, housing finance companies, cement and building materials makers will be the key beneficiaries.