Gold rates drop as yields move higher on higher inflation

Gold prices fell on Monday as data showing very strong readings for U.S. inflation and a faster economic rebound bolstered Treasury yields, weighing on the safe-haven metal.

FUNDAMENTALS

Spot gold fell 0.2% to $1,740.57 per ounce by 0118 GMT. U.S. gold futures were steady at $1,743.70 per ounce.

U.S. Treasury yields climbed on Friday after higher-than-expected March producer price data showed inflation had risen, echoing other reports that said the world’s largest economy was on a steady road to recovery from the pandemic.

Producer prices in the United States rose more than anticipated in March, resulting in the highest annual rise in 9-1/2 years and signalling the start of higher inflation as the economy reopens amid strengthened public health and substantial government assistance.

Higher bond yields increase the opportunity cost of holding bullion, which pays no return.

However, according to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, the U.S. economy is at an “inflection point,” with hopes that inflation and hiring will accelerate in the coming months, but there are dangers if a hasty reopening leads to a continuing uptick in coronavirus cases.

Asian stocks traded cautiously on Monday as investors await to see whether U.S. earnings will support sky-high valuations, while bond markets will be checked by what could be very strong readings for U.S. inflation and retail sales this week.

Hedge funds and money managers raised their bullish positions in COMEX gold and silver contracts in the week to April 6, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) said on Friday.

Silver fell 0.2% to $25.19 and palladium was down 0.3% at $2,631.96 . Platinum stood steady at $1,197.54.

DATA/EVENTS (GMT)
0900 EU Retail Sales MM, YY Feb

1200 India CPI Inflation YY March

1200 India Industrial Output YY Feb

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